The Global Carbon Budget
Geography Expert
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=gkvwX1Yi0Fg

Transkript (automatisch erstellt)

0:00 [music] >> The global carbon budget. The global carbon project GCP is a group of
0:16 scientists who study and track carbon dioxide CO2 emissions around the world. They gather and analyze data so everyone can understand how emissions are
0:25 changing each year. Their work is very important for understanding climate change even though it sometimes goes unnoticed. Highlights from 2025's carbon
0:34 emissions are there are two main types of emissions. CO2 emissions come mainly from fossil fuels, oil, coal, natural gas and cement production and land use
0:46 changes like deforestation and wildfires. In 2025, fossil fuel emissions increased by about 1%. Land use change emissions decreased. Even
0:57 though land use change emissions fell, fossil emissions rose enough that total global emissions stayed almost the same as last year, around 42 billion tons.
1:06 Fossil fuel emissions still rising. Fossil fuel emissions are still going up, not down as they should if we want to fight climate change. Coal and cement
1:15 emissions rose only slightly, less than 1%. Major regions, what's happening in each? China's emissions are expected to rise
1:24 by just 0.4% which could mean its emissions may soon stop growing completely. The change is mainly because China built lots of solar and wind power
1:33 so almost no extra coal was needed. Experts think China's emissions will stop increasing between 2026 and 2030. The US and EU are expected to see a
1:42 small emissions increase this year breaking their longer trend of falling emissions. In the US, more gas exports made gas expensive so coal became more
1:51 attractive for energy, especially during cold weather. The EU used more natural gas because wind and hydropower were weaker than expected. These changes may
2:00 turn out to be temporary. India's emissions will grow, but less than last year. Early rains reduce the need for cooling and renewable energy grew
2:09 quickly, keeping coal use low. Japan's emissions fell by around 2% because it restarted some nuclear power plants and added more solar energy, replacing coal.
2:19 Land use change, some good news. Land use change emissions dropped. Why? There were fewer big wildfires and countries like Brazil cut back on deforestation.
2:29 Tracking land use emissions is hard, but the data this year seems positive. The global carbon budget, can we meet targets? The world wants to keep the
2:37 temperature rise below 1.5° C, but with current emissions, it's almost impossible. At the current rate, 42 billion tons per year, we only have
2:47 about 4 years left before the budget to stay below 1.5° C runs out. If we worked really hard, we might slow the rise enough to stretch that to 5 years, but
2:57 it would mean cutting global emissions by 20% right away, which is very difficult. Staying under 2° C is still possible, but only with much stronger
3:06 actions. Even if the world misses the target by a little, every reduction in emissions means less damage from climate change. Thank you for listening to this
3:15 Geography Expert podcast. You can find further resources and information at the Geography Expert Substack and my website www.richiecunningham.com.
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